The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias wherein unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability much higher than is accurate. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude.
The danger of the Dunning-Kruger effect is that the sufferer will not know until it has initiated a domino effect upon its immediate and extended sphere of influence. The anticipation of sufferer is that he is accurate in imposition of solutions all in a bid to maintain the illusory superiority.
The effect is clearly impacting on Nigeria Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) which was why pressure was mounted on the Chairman of INEC to shift the date of the polls with the follow up strategy of easing him out of the position without breaking any law or the agreement with the other political parties. In the roulette, all is fair as long as the beneficially of this perfidious decision is favoured in the final outcome.
The Dunning-Kruger effect becomes more feasible in the body language of the handers of the President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan which was why a certain Doyin Okupe would descend to vowing that General Muhammadu Buhari will never become the President of Nigeria because in his estimation GMB is ‘unlearned’, kudos to members of the fourth estate who poured an appropriate opprobrium on him right inside the custody of his pay master.
The Nigerian Military has also become an unwilling sufferer of the Dunning-Kruger effect in its handling of the volatility of the Nigerian political climate, rather than play the constitutional role of defending the Nigerian people.
The role as been abdicated to neighbouring countries while it turned the weapons of defence on the Nigerian people through terrorising and manipulation of electoral processes in favour of the ruling party. As demonstrated, during the Ekiti Governorship election and the recent deployment of military personnel around the person of Asiwaju Bola Hammed Tinubu with the sole purpose of intimidating and preparing the grounds for his incarceration between March 28 and April 11, 2015.
A scenario that has been implemented in Ekiti, frustrated in Osun and will definitely be frustrated in Lagos and in every state aspiring for deliverance from the domino effect of the #GEJ’s Dunning-Kruger Effect.
Unfortunately, the ruling party is suffering from the effect as it options thinned out because it could not extricate itself from #GEJ illusion. It could not organise an acceptable primaries without frustrating other contestants who could have provided a better and highly competitive option against the candidate of the opposition, just like the highly competitive race between a Jimi Agbaje and Akinwunmi Ambode. Thereby tactically giving the opposition the stage to run the show and the opposition is just making the best use of the opportunity.
The Nigerian Economy despite being the biggest by GDP estimation, is the greatest victim of the Dunning-Kruger effect, which as at today has paralysed the economy, nobody wants to invest a single Naira in Nigeria because of the volatility of its political terrain and with the threat of war and brimstone from every section of the country with particular emphasis on a certain petro-dollar billionaire militant. Since the currency of political bribery is denominated in dollars, dollar has become extremely scarce with the attendant effect on the Naira, which has since started enjoying a managed devaluation.
In practical terms, there is little on nothing the CBN and Ministry of finance can do to stem the tide but to continue to bear the brunt of international investments analysts’ opinions. Look at this scenario, imagine President Barak Obama saying “Stealing is not corruption” what do you think will happen. I can say with a degree of safety and little contradiction, the Senate will invite him for clarification, international confidence in the America legal framework will take flight, investment rate will plummet and you can be sure, if he does not apologise and correct the odious impression. He will be impeached to safe the nation.
This point made, our lot for this six years has been with Goodluck which has foster this malaise on the Nigerian people. Removing the subsidy on January 1, 2012 was the first signal, which we neglected as a nation, then comes the failure of the Commander in Chief to observe the Independent Day parade in Eagle Square because of Boko Haram and the last clincher the state of denial that over 200 School Girls were abducted.
Now, that personal interest is involved the war against terror has taking centre stage and Nigerian people must be made to wait further six weeks to know who will lead the nation from May 29, 2015. If the GEJ administration has performed has been touted all over the state controlled airwave and some select private media platforms, then why the desperation to deploy the military for civil activity. It should be a forgotten conclusion that he will win. There was no such massive deployment when we were voting him in 2011, but now that defeat looks so real, resort to use of state instrument of terror has become the fade.
The justification of continuity of D-K effect is manifestation of unpalatable hardship on all sections of the Nigerian society, which might just bring the nation to its knees, I hate to see the implosion of the Nigerian military along party or religious lines. This is the greatest threat to the Nigerian nation with unimaginable consequences.
The cure, is simply to ensure that the rigging machine is frustrated by every well-meaning Nigerian voter. It is imperative, you go out and vote for your conscience and ensure that you wait to know the outcome of every voting exercise in every polling unit, ward and senatorial zones, states and regions.
The choice is in our hand whether to continue with D-K Effect or for posterity to implement a nationalist revolution through the ballot box to frustrate a superficial revolution of rigging machine being currently fine-tuned to subvert the will of the people.
The signal will be the forceful removal, terminal leave, incarceration of INEC Chairman within the next six weeks, if and when this happens know that the election has been compromised already. Let's safe this nation from Dunning-Kruger Effect under this administration
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